Gremio vs Athletico-PR — Brazilian Serie A forecast, Friday, 30 October 2026
Brazilian Serie A·Friday, 30 October 2026·00:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Gremio | 2.71 |
| Draw | 3.34 |
| Athletico-PR | 2.64 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 27 Oct · 04:20 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Gremio
| 28 Jan | A | vs Fluminense | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Feb | H | vs Botafogo RJ | 5–3 | W |
| 12 Feb | A | vs Sao Paulo | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Feb | H | vs Atletico-MG | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Mar | H | vs Bragantino | 1–1 | D |
Athletico-PR
| 28 Jan | A | vs Internacional | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Feb | H | vs Santos | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Feb | H | vs Corinthians | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Feb | A | vs Bragantino | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Mar | A | vs Fluminense | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
| 3 May 26 | Athletico-PRvsGremio | 0 – 0 |
Gremio: 0W 1D 0L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Gremio (Home · 16 matches) | Athletico-PR (Away · 15 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 68.8% | 60.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 60.0% |
| Clean sheet | 25.0% | 20.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.88 | 2.93 |
Home stats use Gremio's home record; away stats use Athletico-PR's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.