Fluminense vs Coritiba — Brazilian Serie A forecast, Friday, 9 October 2026
Brazilian Serie A·Friday, 9 October 2026·00:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Fluminense | 1.49 |
| Draw | 4.30 |
| Coritiba | 6.74 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 25 Sep · 03:44 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Fluminense
| 28 Jan | H | vs Gremio | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Feb | A | vs Bahia | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | H | vs Botafogo RJ | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Feb | A | vs Palmeiras | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Mar | A | vs Remo | 2–0 | W |
Coritiba
| 28 Jan | H | vs Bragantino | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Feb | A | vs Cruzeiro | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Feb | A | vs Chapecoense-SC | 3–3 | D |
| 25 Feb | H | vs Sao Paulo | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Mar | A | vs Corinthians | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 5 Apr 26 | CoritibavsFluminense | 1 – 1 |
Fluminense: 0W 1D 0L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Fluminense (Home · 14 matches) | Coritiba (Away · 14 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 71.4% | 42.9% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 64.3% | 57.1% |
| Clean sheet | 28.6% | 28.6% |
| Avg goals | 2.71 | 3.00 |
Home stats use Fluminense's home record; away stats use Coritiba's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.