Chapecoense sit bottom of the table and their home record tells a grim story — one point from their last five, conceding heavily and keeping clean sheets in just 12% of home games. That defensive fragility is reflected in a BTTS rate of 75% at home, well above the league average of 57%, and they are averaging over two goals conceded per game on their own patch. This is a side in freefall.

Remo arrive in slightly better shape but are hardly convincing, with just one win in five on the road. Their away BTTS sits at a low 38%, driven more by low-scoring affairs than defensive solidity — they are conceding at a similar rate to Chapecoense away from home.

With both sides rooted in the relegation zone and no H2H data to lean on, this has the feel of a nervy, low-quality contest. Remo's marginal stability in form makes them slightly undervalued as visitors here.