Botafogo RJ head into this one in decent shape, having taken ten points from their last five at home, though that clean sheet record of just 25% hints at a side that can be got at defensively. Averaging 2.2 goals scored per home game alongside conceding 1.8, the data suggests this is a team that tends to trade blows rather than shut up shop.

Remo arrive as a struggling side sitting 19th, and their away record makes grim reading. With just 0.7 goals scored per away game and a BTTS rate of 29% on the road, well below the league average of 56%, the visitors look more likely to park than engage. Their defensive exposure is real though, conceding 2.1 per away outing.

With Botafogo's home over 2.5 rate sitting at a perfect 100% this season, this looks tighter in terms of scoreline shape than it does on paper, with the hosts clearly the stronger side but Remo's defensive approach potentially keeping this closer than expected.