Bahia vs Sao Paulo — Brazilian Serie A forecast, Thursday, 29 October 2026
Brazilian Serie A·Thursday, 29 October 2026·00:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Bahia | 2.09 |
| Draw | 3.54 |
| Sao Paulo | 3.46 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 25 Oct · 04:59 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Bahia
| 28 Jan | A | vs Corinthians | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Feb | H | vs Fluminense | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | A | vs Vasco | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Mar | H | vs Vitoria | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Mar | A | vs Internacional | 1–0 | W |
Sao Paulo
| 29 Jan | H | vs Flamengo RJ | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Feb | A | vs Santos | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | H | vs Gremio | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | A | vs Coritiba | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | H | vs Chapecoense-SC | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 3 May 26 | Sao PaulovsBahia | 2 – 2 |
Bahia: 0W 1D 0L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Bahia (Home · 16 matches) | Sao Paulo (Away · 15 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 62.5% | 53.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 33.3% |
| Clean sheet | 31.2% | 6.7% |
| Avg goals | 2.50 | 2.20 |
Home stats use Bahia's home record; away stats use Sao Paulo's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.