Bahia vs Fluminense — Brazilian Serie A forecast, Thursday, 5 February 2026
Brazilian Serie A·Thursday, 5 February 2026
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Bahia
| 28 Jan | A | vs Corinthians | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Feb | H | vs Fluminense | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | A | vs Vasco | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Mar | H | vs Vitoria | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Mar | A | vs Internacional | 1–0 | W |
Fluminense
| 28 Jan | H | vs Gremio | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Feb | A | vs Bahia | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | H | vs Botafogo RJ | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Feb | A | vs Palmeiras | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Mar | A | vs Remo | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Bahia (Home · 14 matches) | Fluminense (Away · 14 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 71.4% | 78.6% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 42.9% |
| Clean sheet | 28.6% | 7.1% |
| Avg goals | 2.57 | 3.00 |
Home stats use Bahia's home record; away stats use Fluminense's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.