Athletico-PR vs Atletico-MG — Brazilian Serie A forecast, Thursday, 8 October 2026
Brazilian Serie A·Thursday, 8 October 2026·23:00
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Athletico-PR | 2.09 |
| Draw | 3.09 |
| Atletico-MG | 4.03 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 25 Sep · 03:44 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Athletico-PR
| 28 Jan | A | vs Internacional | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Feb | H | vs Santos | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Feb | H | vs Corinthians | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Feb | A | vs Bragantino | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Mar | A | vs Fluminense | 2–3 | L |
Atletico-MG
| 28 Jan | H | vs Palmeiras | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Feb | A | vs Bragantino | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Feb | H | vs Remo | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Feb | A | vs Gremio | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Mar | H | vs Internacional | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 5 Apr 26 | Atletico-MGvsAthletico-PR | 2 – 1 |
Athletico-PR: 0W 0D 1L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Athletico-PR (Home · 14 matches) | Atletico-MG (Away · 14 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 57.1% | 28.6% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 42.9% | 35.7% |
| Clean sheet | 35.7% | 21.4% |
| Avg goals | 2.57 | 2.07 |
Home stats use Athletico-PR's home record; away stats use Atletico-MG's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.