Westerlo head into this clash in poor home form, winning just one of their last five at home, while Standard Liege arrive carrying genuine momentum with three wins from their last five away from home. The visitors sit three places higher in the table and have looked the more composed side in recent weeks, making this a trickier assignment for the hosts than the mid-table billing might imply. Standard look undervalued here.

The scoring patterns tell an interesting story. Both sides sit well below the Belgian Pro League average for BTTS, with Westerlo seeing it in just 42% of home games and Standard keeping clean sheets in 37% of their away fixtures. League average sits at 55% for BTTS and 49% for over 2.5 goals, so the data suggests this one trends towards a tighter, lower-scoring affair. Standard's defensive discipline on the road has been a quiet strength all season, and that looks likely to be a factor again here.