St Truiden sit third in the Belgian Pro League and have been a productive home side this season, with over 2.5 goals landing in 62% of their home matches — well above the league average of 48%. They average 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded at home, making them a lively proposition in front of their own supporters. With no home form data available for the last five matches, there is some uncertainty about their current momentum, but their league position speaks to consistency across the campaign.

Anderlecht arrive in poor form, winning just once in their last five outings, and their away record is notably low-scoring. Their BTTS rate on the road sits at 44% against a league average of 54%, and they keep clean sheets in under one in five away games while conceding 1.8 per match. The visitors look vulnerable and short of attacking threat away from home. This fixture looks tighter than a third-versus-fourth billing might suggest, but the data points toward a close, relatively low-scoring contest where Anderlecht's away frailties could prove decisive.