RAAL La Louviere vs Kortrijk — Belgian Pro League result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026

Belgian Pro League·Sunday, 13 September 2026

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 32.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

RAAL La Louviere

40%

pick · result

Draw

28%

Kortrijk

33%

Final score

3–0

Top pick landed

Metis gave a RAAL La Louviere win 39.6% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a RAAL La Louviere win. Expected goals 1.42–1.22 against 3–0 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals49%3 scored
Both teams score54%no
RAAL La Louviere clean sheet29%yes
Kortrijk clean sheet25%no
RAAL La Louviere score 2+41%yes
Kortrijk score 2+35%no

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.2364
1X2 Brier score0.5488
Probability on the result39.6%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.2%), 1–0 (8.6%), 0–1 (8.5%). It finished 3–0.

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RAAL La Louviere

9 AugAvs Anderlecht1–2L
16 AugHvs Gent1–2L
21 AugAvs Standard Liege0–2L
29 AugHvs Mechelen2–2D
5 SeptAvs St Truiden0–4L

Kortrijk

7 AugAvs Club Brugge0–3L
15 AugHvs Antwerp0–3L
29 AugHvs Charleroi1–3L
3 SeptAvs Anderlecht0–1L
6 SeptHvs Waregem0–2L

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.

Model context

StatRAAL La Louviere
(Home · 5 matches)
Kortrijk
(Away · 5 matches)
BTTS rate60.0%20.0%
Over 2.5 rate100.0%60.0%
Clean sheet40.0%0.0%
Avg goals3.602.40

Home stats use RAAL La Louviere's home record; away stats use Kortrijk's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.