Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Standard Liege — Belgian Pro League result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 29 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 3.0 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Leuven
41%
top pick
Draw
28%
Standard Liege
32%
result
Final score
1–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Standard Liege win 31.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Leuven win. Expected goals 1.45–1.25 against 1–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.2%), 2–1 (8.8%), 1–0 (8.7%). It finished 1–2.
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Oud-Heverlee Leuven
| 9 Aug | A | vs Charleroi | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | vs Club Brugge | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Standard Liege | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Sept | A | vs Gent | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Beveren | 0–3 | L |
Standard Liege
| 8 Aug | H | vs Cercle Brugge | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Mechelen | 3–3 | D |
| 21 Aug | H | vs RAAL La Louviere | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Antwerp | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Oud-Heverlee Leuven (Home · 5 matches) | Standard Liege (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 100.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 100.0% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.80 | 4.20 |
Home stats use Oud-Heverlee Leuven's home record; away stats use Standard Liege's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.