OH Leuven vs Lommel — Belgian Pro League forecast, Saturday, 24 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
OH Leuven
51%
Draw
24%
Lommel
25%
Expected goals
1.63–1.19
OH Leuven · Lommel
OH Leuven win 51% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 2–1 (11.7%), 1–1 (11.5%), 1–0 (10.6%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 57% of simulations.
Those three cover 34% of outcomes; the other 66% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
OH Leuven score at least twice in 50%; Lommel in 33%.
Scoreline distribution
Lommel goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.3 | 5.1 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.6 | 11.5 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 8.3 | 11.7 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.8 | 5.4 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: OH Leuven goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 36% | 27% | 37% |
| Market reference | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| Metis Forecast | 51% | 24% | 25% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| OH Leuven | 1.89 |
| Draw | 3.87 |
| Lommel | 3.76 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 23 Oct · 04:31 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Recent form
OH Leuven
| 3 Sept | A | vs Gent | 0–1 | L |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.