Lommel SK vs Club Brugge — Belgian Pro League result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 4 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 135.7 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Lommel SK
29%
Draw
26%
Club Brugge
44%
pick · result
Final score
0–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Club Brugge win 44.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Club Brugge win. Expected goals 1.26–1.59 against 0–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.5%), 1–2 (9.2%), 0–1 (8.2%). It finished 0–1 — one of them.
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Lommel SK
| 8 Aug | A | vs St Truiden | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Charleroi | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Westerlo | 4–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Cercle Brugge | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Sept | H | vs Club Brugge | 0–1 | L |
Club Brugge
| 7 Aug | H | vs Kortrijk | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 3–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Cercle Brugge | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Gent | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Sept | A | vs Lommel SK | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Lommel SK (Home · 4 matches) | Club Brugge (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 0.0% | 33.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 25.0% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 66.7% |
| Avg goals | 1.50 | 2.33 |
Home stats use Lommel SK's home record; away stats use Club Brugge's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.