🇧🇪 Belgian Pro League·Saturday, 29 August 2026·16:15
Metis Forecast
model onlyKortrijk
36%
Draw
28%
Charleroi
36%
Kortrijk 1.31 xGexpected goals1.31 xG Charleroi
Charleroi win 36% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 54% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13.5%).
Kortrijk score at least twice in 38%; Charleroi in 38%.
1–1 13.5%0–1 8.6%1–0 8.5%0–0 8.3%1–2 8.2%2–1 8.2%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3 | 8.5 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 8.5 | 13.5 | 8.2 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.2 | 8.2 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.7 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Kortrijk goals · columns = Charleroi goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score54%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Over 4.5 goals13%
Kortrijk clean sheet27%
Charleroi clean sheet27%
Kortrijk score 2+38%
Charleroi score 2+38%
Kortrijk score 3+14%
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
No recent results.
Charleroi
| 27 Jul | A | vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Aug | H | vs St Truiden | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Aug | A | vs RAAL La Louviere | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | vs Antwerp | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Dender | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Kortrijk (Home) | Charleroi (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | — | 45.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | — | 40.0% |
| Clean sheet | — | 30.0% |
| Avg goals | — | 2.40 |
Home stats use Kortrijk's home record; away stats use Charleroi's away record this season.