Gent vs Standard Liege — Belgian Pro League result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 18 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 15.3 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Gent
51%
pick · result
Draw
26%
Standard Liege
23%
Final score
2–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Gent win 51.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Gent win. Expected goals 1.64–1.02 against 2–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.6%), 1–0 (10.5%), 2–1 (9.6%). It finished 2–1 — one of them.
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Gent
| 3 Sept | H | vs OH Leuven | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | H | vs Mechelen | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs RAAL La Louviere | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Club Brugge | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Sept | H | vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 1–0 | W |
Standard Liege
| 8 Aug | H | vs Cercle Brugge | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Mechelen | 3–3 | D |
| 21 Aug | H | vs RAAL La Louviere | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Antwerp | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Gent (Home · 5 matches) | Standard Liege (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 40.0% | 100.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 100.0% |
| Clean sheet | 60.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.60 | 4.20 |
Home stats use Gent's home record; away stats use Standard Liege's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.