Gent head into this derby in poor shape, winless in their last five with a run of two draws sandwiched between defeats. Anderlecht arrive having won two of their last five away but have looked vulnerable on the road, conceding at an average of 1.8 per away game and keeping a clean sheet in just 17% of away fixtures. The head-to-head record favours the visitors, who have won two of the last three meetings between these sides.

Despite the h2h lean toward Anderlecht, neither side is producing high-scoring football right now. Both teams sit below the league average for BTTS and Over 2.5 outcomes, and Gent have been reasonably solid at home, conceding just 1.1 per game. The data suggests a tighter, more cautious affair than a mid-table derby might typically produce. This looks like a closer contest than Anderlecht's superior league position implies, with goals likely to be at a premium.