Club Brugge head into this one in strong shape, winning four of their last five at home and averaging 2.4 goals scored per game on their own patch this season. Their BTTS rate of 62% and an over 2.5 rate of 69% both sit well above the league average, suggesting Jan Breydel has been a productive venue all campaign. With a title race presumably still alive at second place, the hosts will be motivated to keep the pressure on.

Mechelen arrive in poor road form, losing three of their last five away games, and their over 2.5 rate away from home at 44% is below the league average, pointing to tighter, lower-scoring affairs on the road. Their defensive record is modest at best, conceding 1.4 per away game with a clean sheet rate of just 25%.

The H2H is slim at two meetings and perfectly split, so history offers little steer, but the overall picture favours the hosts comfortably. This looks like a match where Club Brugge's attacking output at home could be the deciding factor.