Cercle Brugge vs Lommel SK — Belgian Pro League result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 29 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 3.0 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Cercle Brugge
62%
top pick
Draw
21%
Lommel
17%
result
Final score
0–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Lommel win 17.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Cercle Brugge win. Expected goals 1.90–1.04 against 0–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–1 (12.9%), 1–0 (11.4%), 2–0 (10.2%). It finished 0–1.
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Cercle Brugge
| 8 Aug | A | vs Standard Liege | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Aug | H | vs St Truiden | 3–3 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Club Brugge | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Lommel SK | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Gent | 0–3 | L |
Lommel SK
| 8 Aug | A | vs St Truiden | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Charleroi | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Westerlo | 4–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Cercle Brugge | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Sept | H | vs Club Brugge | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Cercle Brugge (Home · 5 matches) | Lommel SK (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 60.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 80.0% | 60.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 20.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.20 | 3.20 |
Home stats use Cercle Brugge's home record; away stats use Lommel SK's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.