Beveren vs Union SG — Belgian Pro League forecast, Saturday, 31 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Independent model — no market priceModel updated
Beveren
38%
Draw
27%
Union SG
35%
Expected goals
1.45–1.38
Beveren · Union SG
Beveren win 38% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.8%), 2–1 (8.6%), 1–2 (8.1%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 58% of simulations.
Those three cover 29% of outcomes; the other 71% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Beveren score at least twice in 43%; Union SG in 40%.
Scoreline distribution
Union SG goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9 | 7.2 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 7.7 | 12.8 | 8.1 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 6.2 | 8.6 | 5.9 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Beveren goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Beveren | 5.78 |
| Draw | 4.61 |
| Union SG | 1.50 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 26 Oct · 04:41 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Beveren
| 9 Aug | A | vs Antwerp | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Anderlecht | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Waregem | 0–4 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | vs Genk | 0–4 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 3–0 | W |
Union SG
| 2 Sept | A | vs St Truiden | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Anderlecht | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Beveren (Home · 4 matches) | Union SG (Away · no matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 25.0% | — |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | — |
| Clean sheet | 75.0% | — |
| Avg goals | 2.50 | — |
Home stats use Beveren's home record; away stats use Union SG's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.