Beveren vs St Truiden — Belgian Pro League result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 12 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 5.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Beveren
31%
result
Draw
28%
St Truiden
41%
top pick
Final score
2–0
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Beveren win 30.8% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a St Truiden win. Expected goals 1.32–1.53 against 2–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.1%), 1–2 (9.1%), 0–1 (8.0%). It finished 2–0.
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Beveren
| 9 Aug | A | vs Antwerp | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Anderlecht | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Waregem | 0–4 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | vs Genk | 0–4 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 3–0 | W |
St Truiden
| 2 Sept | H | vs Union SG | 0–3 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | vs Lommel SK | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Aug | A | vs Cercle Brugge | 3–3 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Antwerp | 4–1 | W |
| 2 Sept | H | vs St. Gilloise | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Beveren (Home · 5 matches) | St Truiden (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 40.0% | 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 80.0% |
| Clean sheet | 60.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.60 | 5.00 |
Home stats use Beveren's home record; away stats use St Truiden's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.