Antwerp head into this fixture in poor shape, having lost three of their last five at home, and their league position of 12th reflects a difficult season. Westerlo sit seventh and arrive with a more convincing recent record, and the head-to-head is notable — Antwerp have won just one of the last three meetings, losing the other two. The visitors carry genuine belief into this one, and the data suggests they are undervalued here.

The scoring patterns point toward a tight, low-scoring affair. Westerlo's away BTTS rate of 37% sits well below the league average of 54%, and they keep clean sheets in over four in ten away games. Antwerp's home games do see more goals, but their BTTS and Over 2.5 rates are only modest. This looks tighter than a home fixture might ordinarily suggest, with Westerlo the more composed side and the form pointing firmly in their favour.