Anderlecht head into this one in poor form, having won just once in their last five league outings, and sitting sixth despite home advantage. That inconsistency is concerning for a side that will need to push for points at this stage of the season. St Truiden, by contrast, arrive in third place and carrying real momentum, making them the more compelling side on current evidence despite the travel.

The goal data adds an interesting layer. Anderlecht's home matches have seen BTTS land 61% of the time, notably above the league average of 55%, and they average 1.2 goals conceded per home game. St Truiden have kept just a 16% clean sheet rate away from home, suggesting they tend to contribute to open, exchangeable games on the road.

With Anderlecht's shaky recent form and St Truiden's strong league position, the visitors look undervalued here. This has the feel of a game where St Truiden can cause real problems.