Wolfsberger AC vs LASK — Austrian Bundesliga result and pre-match forecast, Tuesday, 1 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 9.7 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Wolfsberger AC
17%
Draw
20%
LASK
63%
pick · result
Final score
1–3
Top pick landed
Metis gave a LASK win 63.5% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a LASK win. Expected goals 0.99–1.81 against 1–3 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–2 (14.1%), 0–1 (13.7%), 0–2 (10.8%). It finished 1–3.
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Wolfsberger AC
| 2 Aug | H | vs Austria Vienna | 3–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | H | vs Salzburg | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | A | vs A. Lustenau | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Grazer AK | 0–0 | D |
| 1 Sept | H | vs LASK | 1–3 | L |
LASK
| 29 Aug | H | vs Rheindorf Altach | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Jul | H | vs Grazer AK | 3–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Austria Vienna | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | H | vs SV Ried | 4–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | vs SCR Altach | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Wolfsberger AC (Home · 4 matches) | LASK (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 75.0% | 75.0% |
| Clean sheet | 25.0% | 25.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 3.75 |
Home stats use Wolfsberger AC's home record; away stats use LASK's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.