SCR Altach vs Grazer AK — Austrian Bundesliga result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 12 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 6.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
SCR Altach
45%
top pick
Draw
28%
Grazer AK
27%
result
Final score
1–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Grazer AK win 27.3% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a SCR Altach win. Expected goals 1.57–1.18 against 1–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.2%), 2–1 (9.2%), 1–0 (8.9%). It finished 1–2.
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SCR Altach
| 2 Aug | A | vs Rapid Vienna | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Aug | H | vs WSG Tirol | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | vs Sturm Graz | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Hartberg | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs LASK | 0–3 | L |
Grazer AK
| 31 Jul | A | vs LASK | 0–3 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | vs A. Lustenau | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Rapid Vienna | 0–8 | L |
| 21 Aug | A | vs SV Ried | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Wolfsberger AC | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | SCR Altach (Home · 6 matches) | Grazer AK (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 83.3% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 83.3% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 4.00 |
Home stats use SCR Altach's home record; away stats use Grazer AK's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.