🇦🇹 Austrian Bundesliga·Saturday, 29 August 2026·17:30
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| LASK | 1.46 | 1.46 |
| Draw | 4.89 | 4.89 |
| SCR Altach | 6.78 | 6.78 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketLASK
67%
Draw
19%
SCR Altach
14%
LASK 1.99 xGexpected goals0.90 xG SCR Altach
LASK win 67% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 53% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (12.6%).
LASK score at least twice in 61%; SCR Altach in 22%.
2–1 12.6%1–0 12.4%2–0 11.7%1–1 9.2%3–1 7.2%3–0 6.7%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.5 | 9.2 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 11.7 | 12.6 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.7 | 7.3 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = LASK goals · columns = SCR Altach goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score53%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Over 4.5 goals16%
LASK clean sheet40%
SCR Altach clean sheet12%
LASK score 2+61%
SCR Altach score 2+22%
LASK score 3+31%
Model vs market
| Source | LASK | Draw | SCR Altach |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 53% | 26% | 22% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| Metis Forecast | 67% | 19% | 14% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Recent form
LASK
| 31 Jul | H | vs Grazer AK | 3–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Austria Vienna | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | H | vs SV Ried | 4–1 | W |
SCR Altach
| 2 Aug | A | vs Rapid Vienna | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Aug | H | vs WSG Tirol | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | vs Sturm Graz | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Hartberg | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | LASK (Home) | SCR Altach (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.00 | 1.00 |
Home stats use LASK's home record; away stats use SCR Altach's away record this season.