🇦🇹 Austrian Bundesliga·Saturday, 29 August 2026·15:00
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Grazer AK | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| Draw | 3.46 | 3.46 |
| Wolfsberger AC | 2.70 | 2.70 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketGrazer AK
36%
Draw
28%
Wolfsberger AC
36%
Grazer AK 1.37 xGexpected goals1.32 xG Wolfsberger AC
Grazer AK win 36% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13.3%).
Grazer AK score at least twice in 40%; Wolfsberger AC in 38%.
1–1 13.3%1–2 8.6%0–1 8.4%2–1 7.9%1–0 7.8%0–0 7.7%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7 | 8.4 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.8 | 13.2 | 8.6 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.3 | 7.9 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Grazer AK goals · columns = Wolfsberger AC goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score56%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Over 4.5 goals14%
Grazer AK clean sheet26%
Wolfsberger AC clean sheet26%
Grazer AK score 2+40%
Wolfsberger AC score 2+38%
Grazer AK score 3+16%
Model vs market
| Source | Grazer AK | Draw | Wolfsberger AC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 40% | 28% | 32% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 36% | 28% | 36% |
| Metis Forecast | 36% | 28% | 36% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Recent form
Grazer AK
| 31 Jul | A | vs LASK | 0–3 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | vs A. Lustenau | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Rapid Vienna | 0–8 | L |
| 21 Aug | A | vs SV Ried | 0–1 | L |
Wolfsberger AC
| 2 Aug | H | vs Austria Vienna | 3–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | H | vs Salzburg | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | A | vs A. Lustenau | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Grazer AK (Home) | Wolfsberger AC (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 3.00 |
Home stats use Grazer AK's home record; away stats use Wolfsberger AC's away record this season.