Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC — Austrian Bundesliga result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 29 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · under an hour before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Grazer AK
36%
top pick
Draw
28%
result
Wolfsberger AC
36%
Final score
0–0
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 27.8% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Grazer AK win. Expected goals 1.37–1.32 against 0–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.3%), 1–2 (8.6%), 0–1 (8.4%). It finished 0–0.
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Grazer AK
| 31 Jul | A | vs LASK | 0–3 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | vs A. Lustenau | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Rapid Vienna | 0–8 | L |
| 21 Aug | A | vs SV Ried | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Wolfsberger AC | 0–0 | D |
Wolfsberger AC
| 2 Aug | H | vs Austria Vienna | 3–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | H | vs Salzburg | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | A | vs A. Lustenau | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Grazer AK | 0–0 | D |
| 1 Sept | H | vs LASK | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Grazer AK (Home · 3 matches) | Wolfsberger AC (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 66.7% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| Avg goals | 2.33 | 2.67 |
Home stats use Grazer AK's home record; away stats use Wolfsberger AC's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.