Austria Vienna vs Austria Lustenau — Austrian Bundesliga result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 28.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Austria Vienna
52%
pick · result
Draw
25%
Austria Lustenau
24%
Final score
2–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave an Austria Vienna win 51.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Austria Vienna win. Expected goals 1.61–1.11 against 2–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (11.8%), 2–1 (11.6%), 1–0 (11.5%). It finished 2–1 — one of them.
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Austria Vienna
| 13 Sept | H | vs Austria Lustenau | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Aug | A | vs Wolfsberger AC | 0–3 | L |
| 9 Aug | H | vs LASK | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Hartberg | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Salzburg | 1–4 | L |
Austria Lustenau
| 13 Sept | A | vs Austria Vienna | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Austria Vienna (Home · 3 matches) | Austria Lustenau (Away · no matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 33.3% | — |
| Over 2.5 rate | 33.3% | — |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | — |
| Avg goals | 2.00 | — |
Home stats use Austria Vienna's home record; away stats use Austria Lustenau's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.