Talleres Cordoba vs Union de Santa Fe — Argentine Primera result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026

Argentine Primera·Sunday, 13 September 2026

Metis pre-match forecast

Independent model — no market price

Frozen as published · 14.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Talleres Cordoba

42%

pick · result

Draw

30%

Union Santa Fe

28%

Final score

2–1

Top pick landed

Metis gave a Talleres Cordoba win 41.6% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Talleres Cordoba win. Expected goals 1.27–1.00 against 2–1 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals39%3 scored
Both teams score46%yes
Talleres Cordoba clean sheet37%no
Union Santa Fe clean sheet28%no
Talleres Cordoba score 2+36%yes
Union Santa Fe score 2+26%no

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.2101
1X2 Brier score0.5126
Probability on the result41.6%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (14.2%), 1–0 (12.1%), 0–0 (11.4%). It finished 2–1.

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Talleres Cordoba

24 JanHvs Newells Old Boys2–1W
27 JanAvs Velez Sarsfield1–2L
1 FebHvs Platense1–2L
9 FebAvs Lanus1–1D
14 FebHvs Gimnasia Mendoza2–1W

Union de Santa Fe

22 JanHvs Platense0–0D
29 JanAvs Lanus1–2L
3 FebHvs Gimnasia Mendoza4–0W
7 FebAvs Central Cordoba0–1L
14 FebHvs San Lorenzo0–0D

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.

Model context

StatTalleres Cordoba
(Home · 16 matches)
Union de Santa Fe
(Away · 18 matches)
BTTS rate43.8%66.7%
Over 2.5 rate50.0%61.1%
Clean sheet31.2%0.0%
Avg goals2.063.00

Home stats use Talleres Cordoba's home record; away stats use Union de Santa Fe's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.