San Lorenzo vs Talleres Cordoba — Argentine Primera result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 5 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 14.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
San Lorenzo
35%
pick · result
Draw
32%
Talleres Cordoba
34%
Final score
1–0
Top pick landed
Metis gave a San Lorenzo win 34.6% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a San Lorenzo win. Expected goals 1.08–1.06 against 1–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (14.5%), 0–0 (12.8%), 1–0 (11.6%). It finished 1–0 — one of them.
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San Lorenzo
| 23 Jan | H | vs Lanus | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Jan | A | vs Gimnasia Mendoza | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Jan | H | vs Central Cordoba | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Feb | A | vs Huracan | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Feb | A | vs Union de Santa Fe | 0–0 | D |
Talleres Cordoba
| 24 Jan | H | vs Newells Old Boys | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jan | A | vs Velez Sarsfield | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Feb | H | vs Platense | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Feb | A | vs Lanus | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Feb | H | vs Gimnasia Mendoza | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | San Lorenzo (Home · 15 matches) | Talleres Cordoba (Away · 16 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 26.7% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 20.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 60.0% | 31.2% |
| Avg goals | 1.93 | 2.25 |
Home stats use San Lorenzo's home record; away stats use Talleres Cordoba's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.