Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys — Argentine Primera result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 6 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 9.8 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Rosario Central
61%
top pick
Draw
25%
result
Newells Old Boys
13%
Final score
1–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 25.4% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Rosario Central win. Expected goals 1.70–0.73 against 1–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–0 (14.1%), 2–0 (12.7%), 1–1 (11.8%). It finished 1–1 — one of them.
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Rosario Central
| 25 Jan | H | vs Belgrano | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Jan | A | vs Racing Club | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Feb | H | vs River Plate | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Feb | A | vs Aldosivi | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Feb | H | vs Barracas Central | 2–0 | W |
Newells Old Boys
| 24 Jan | A | vs Talleres Cordoba | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Jan | H | vs Independiente | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Feb | A | vs Boca Juniors | 0–2 | L |
| 8 Feb | H | vs Defensa y Justicia | 2–3 | L |
| 16 Feb | A | vs Dep. Riestra | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Rosario Central (Home · 17 matches) | Newells Old Boys (Away · 15 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 58.8% | 46.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 47.1% | 40.0% |
| Clean sheet | 35.3% | 20.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.29 | 2.27 |
Home stats use Rosario Central's home record; away stats use Newells Old Boys's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.