River Plate vs Huracan — Argentine Primera result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 18.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
River Plate
64%
top pick
Draw
24%
Huracan
13%
result
Final score
1–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Huracan win 12.6% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a River Plate win. Expected goals 1.81–0.68 against 1–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–0 (14.2%), 2–0 (13.6%), 1–1 (11.0%). It finished 1–2.
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River Plate
| 24 Jan | A | vs Barracas Central | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Jan | H | vs Gimnasia L.P. | 2–0 | W |
| 2 Feb | A | vs Rosario Central | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Feb | H | vs Tigre | 1–4 | L |
| 13 Feb | A | vs Argentinos Jrs | 0–1 | L |
Huracan
| 22 Jan | A | vs Banfield | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Jan | H | vs Ind. Rivadavia | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Feb | A | vs Atl. Tucuman | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Feb | H | vs San Lorenzo | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Feb | H | vs Sarmiento Junin | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | River Plate (Home · 20 matches) | Huracan (Away · 17 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 40.0% | 41.2% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 40.0% | 17.6% |
| Clean sheet | 40.0% | 35.3% |
| Avg goals | 2.45 | 1.71 |
Home stats use River Plate's home record; away stats use Huracan's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.