Platense vs Dep. Riestra — Argentine Primera result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 4 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 22.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Platense
33%
Draw
32%
result
Deportivo Riestra
35%
top pick
Final score
1–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 32.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Deportivo Riestra win. Expected goals 1.04–1.08 against 1–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (14.6%), 0–0 (13.2%), 0–1 (11.9%). It finished 1–1 — one of them.
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Platense
| 22 Jan | A | vs Union de Santa Fe | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jan | H | vs Instituto | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Feb | A | vs Talleres Cordoba | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Feb | H | vs Independiente | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | A | vs Boca Juniors | 0–0 | D |
Dep. Riestra
| 25 Jan | A | vs Boca Juniors | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Jan | H | vs Defensa y Justicia | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Feb | A | vs Barracas Central | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Feb | A | vs Estudiantes L.P. | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Feb | H | vs Newells Old Boys | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Platense (Home · 16 matches) | Dep. Riestra (Away · 15 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 37.5% | 20.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 18.8% | 6.7% |
| Clean sheet | 18.8% | 26.7% |
| Avg goals | 1.88 | 1.20 |
Home stats use Platense's home record; away stats use Dep. Riestra's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.