Ind. Rivadavia vs Aldosivi — Argentine Primera result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 12 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 9.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Ind. Rivadavia
73%
pick · result
Draw
19%
Aldosivi
9%
Final score
4–3
Top pick landed
Metis gave an Ind. Rivadavia win 72.5% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Ind. Rivadavia win. Expected goals 2.19–0.63 against 4–3 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–0 (14.3%), 1–0 (12.4%), 3–0 (10.4%). It finished 4–3.
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Ind. Rivadavia
| 24 Jan | H | vs Atl. Tucuman | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jan | A | vs Huracan | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Feb | H | vs Sarmiento Junin | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Feb | A | vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | H | vs Belgrano | 0–1 | L |
Aldosivi
| 22 Jan | H | vs Defensa y Justicia | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Jan | H | vs Barracas Central | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Feb | A | vs Gimnasia L.P. | 1–3 | L |
| 7 Feb | H | vs Rosario Central | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | A | vs Tigre | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Ind. Rivadavia (Home · 17 matches) | Aldosivi (Away · 16 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 88.2% | 56.2% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 76.5% | 43.8% |
| Clean sheet | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.47 | 2.50 |
Home stats use Ind. Rivadavia's home record; away stats use Aldosivi's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.