Huracan vs Racing Club — Argentine Primera result and pre-match forecast, Monday, 14 September 2026

Argentine Primera·Monday, 14 September 2026

2 – 1

Metis pre-match forecast

Independent model — no market price

Frozen as published · 40.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Huracan

32%

result

Draw

32%

Racing Club

36%

top pick

Final score

2–1

Top pick missed

Metis gave a Huracan win 32.2% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Racing Club win. Expected goals 1.04–1.12 against 2–1 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals37%3 scored
Both teams score45%yes
Huracan clean sheet33%no
Racing Club clean sheet35%no
Huracan score 2+28%yes
Racing Club score 2+31%no

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.2951
1X2 Brier score0.6899
Probability on the result32.2%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (14.5%), 0–0 (12.6%), 0–1 (11.8%). It finished 2–1.

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Huracan

22 JanAvs Banfield1–1D
27 JanHvs Ind. Rivadavia1–2L
1 FebAvs Atl. Tucuman1–1D
8 FebHvs San Lorenzo1–0W
14 FebHvs Sarmiento Junin1–0W

Racing Club

24 JanAvs Gimnasia L.P.1–2L
28 JanHvs Rosario Central1–2L
2 FebAvs Tigre1–3L
7 FebHvs Argentinos Jrs2–1W
14 FebAvs Banfield2–0W

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.

Model context

StatHuracan
(Home · 16 matches)
Racing Club
(Away · 17 matches)
BTTS rate50.0%52.9%
Over 2.5 rate43.8%47.1%
Clean sheet43.8%35.3%
Avg goals1.942.06

Home stats use Huracan's home record; away stats use Racing Club's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.