Estudiantes L.P. vs Platense — Argentine Primera result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 12 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 9.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Estudiantes L.P.
55%
pick · result
Draw
27%
Platense
17%
Final score
2–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave an Estudiantes L.P. win 55.4% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Estudiantes L.P. win. Expected goals 1.56–0.76 against 2–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–0 (14.4%), 1–1 (12.6%), 2–0 (11.9%). It finished 2–1.
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Estudiantes L.P.
| 23 Jan | A | vs Independiente | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Jan | H | vs Boca Juniors | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Feb | A | vs Defensa y Justicia | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Feb | H | vs Dep. Riestra | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | A | vs Gimnasia L.P. | 0–0 | D |
Platense
| 22 Jan | A | vs Union de Santa Fe | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jan | H | vs Instituto | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Feb | A | vs Talleres Cordoba | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Feb | H | vs Independiente | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | A | vs Boca Juniors | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Estudiantes L.P. (Home · 16 matches) | Platense (Away · 15 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 31.2% | 53.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 56.2% | 46.7% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 33.3% |
| Avg goals | 2.44 | 2.07 |
Home stats use Estudiantes L.P.'s home record; away stats use Platense's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.