Central Cordoba vs Independiente — Argentine Primera result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 6 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 16.8 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Central Cordoba
29%
Draw
30%
Independiente
41%
pick · result
Final score
0–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave an Independiente win 41.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Independiente win. Expected goals 1.04–1.29 against 0–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (14.1%), 0–1 (11.5%), 0–0 (10.8%). It finished 0–1 — one of them.
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Central Cordoba
| 23 Jan | H | vs Gimnasia Mendoza | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jan | A | vs Atl. Tucuman | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Jan | A | vs San Lorenzo | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Feb | H | vs Union de Santa Fe | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | A | vs Instituto | 0–2 | L |
Independiente
| 23 Jan | H | vs Estudiantes L.P. | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Jan | A | vs Newells Old Boys | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Jan | H | vs Velez Sarsfield | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Feb | A | vs Platense | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Feb | H | vs Lanus | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Central Cordoba (Home · 15 matches) | Independiente (Away · 17 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 33.3% | 64.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 40.0% | 35.3% |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | 23.5% |
| Avg goals | 2.47 | 2.29 |
Home stats use Central Cordoba's home record; away stats use Independiente's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.