Central Cordoba vs Defensa y Justicia — Argentine Primera result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 18 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 17.5 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Central Cordoba
36%
top pick
Draw
32%
result
Defensa Y Justicia
33%
Final score
2–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 31.6% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Central Cordoba win. Expected goals 1.10–1.05 against 2–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (14.5%), 0–0 (12.7%), 1–0 (11.7%). It finished 2–2.
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Central Cordoba
| 23 Jan | H | vs Gimnasia Mendoza | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jan | A | vs Atl. Tucuman | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Jan | A | vs San Lorenzo | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Feb | H | vs Union de Santa Fe | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | A | vs Instituto | 0–2 | L |
Defensa y Justicia
| 22 Jan | A | vs Aldosivi | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Jan | A | vs Dep. Riestra | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Feb | H | vs Estudiantes L.P. | 0–0 | D |
| 8 Feb | A | vs Newells Old Boys | 3–2 | W |
| 14 Feb | H | vs Velez Sarsfield | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Central Cordoba (Home · 15 matches) | Defensa y Justicia (Away · 15 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 33.3% | 53.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 40.0% | 53.3% |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | 26.7% |
| Avg goals | 2.47 | 2.67 |
Home stats use Central Cordoba's home record; away stats use Defensa y Justicia's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.