Boca Juniors vs Central Cordoba — Argentine Primera result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 12 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 20.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Boca Juniors
70%
pick · result
Draw
21%
Central Cordoba
9%
Final score
3–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Boca Juniors win 69.6% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Boca Juniors win. Expected goals 1.98–0.59 against 3–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–0 (15.0%), 1–0 (14.5%), 3–0 (9.9%). It finished 3–1.
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Boca Juniors
| 5 Sept | A | vs Gimnasia M. | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Jan | H | vs Dep. Riestra | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Jan | A | vs Estudiantes L.P. | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Feb | H | vs Newells Old Boys | 2–0 | W |
| 9 Feb | A | vs Velez Sarsfield | 1–2 | L |
Central Cordoba
| 23 Jan | H | vs Gimnasia Mendoza | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jan | A | vs Atl. Tucuman | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Jan | A | vs San Lorenzo | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Feb | H | vs Union de Santa Fe | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | A | vs Instituto | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Boca Juniors (Home · 16 matches) | Central Cordoba (Away · 16 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 43.8% | 37.5% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 18.8% | 31.2% |
| Clean sheet | 56.2% | 18.8% |
| Avg goals | 1.75 | 1.94 |
Home stats use Boca Juniors's home record; away stats use Central Cordoba's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.