Barracas Central vs Ind. Rivadavia — Argentine Primera result and pre-match forecast, Monday, 21 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 13.8 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Barracas Central
32%
Draw
32%
Ind. Rivadavia
36%
pick · result
Final score
0–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave an Ind. Rivadavia win 36.2% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Ind. Rivadavia win. Expected goals 1.04–1.12 against 0–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (14.5%), 0–0 (12.5%), 0–1 (11.8%). It finished 0–1 — one of them.
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Barracas Central
| 24 Jan | H | vs River Plate | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jan | A | vs Aldosivi | 0–0 | D |
| 1 Feb | H | vs Dep. Riestra | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Feb | H | vs Gimnasia L.P. | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | A | vs Rosario Central | 0–2 | L |
Ind. Rivadavia
| 24 Jan | H | vs Atl. Tucuman | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jan | A | vs Huracan | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Feb | H | vs Sarmiento Junin | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Feb | A | vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | H | vs Belgrano | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Barracas Central (Home · 15 matches) | Ind. Rivadavia (Away · 15 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 46.7% | 40.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 40.0% | 33.3% |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | 40.0% |
| Avg goals | 1.87 | 2.07 |
Home stats use Barracas Central's home record; away stats use Ind. Rivadavia's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.