Argentinos Jrs vs Gimnasia L.P. — Argentine Primera result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 152.8 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Argentinos Jrs
56%
top pick
Draw
28%
result
Gimnasia L.P.
17%
Final score
1–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 27.8% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Argentinos Jrs win. Expected goals 1.52–0.78 against 1–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–0 (14.3%), 1–1 (12.8%), 2–0 (11.6%). It finished 1–1 — one of them.
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Recent form
Argentinos Jrs
| 26 Jan | H | vs Sarmiento Junin | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Jan | A | vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Feb | H | vs Belgrano | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Feb | A | vs Racing Club | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Feb | H | vs River Plate | 1–0 | W |
Gimnasia L.P.
| 24 Jan | H | vs Racing Club | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jan | A | vs River Plate | 0–2 | L |
| 2 Feb | H | vs Aldosivi | 3–1 | W |
| 9 Feb | A | vs Barracas Central | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | H | vs Estudiantes L.P. | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Argentinos Jrs (Home · 18 matches) | Gimnasia L.P. (Away · 18 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 44.4% | 55.6% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 33.3% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 55.6% | 16.7% |
| Avg goals | 1.83 | 2.39 |
Home stats use Argentinos Jrs's home record; away stats use Gimnasia L.P.'s away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.