Aldosivi vs Banfield — Argentine Primera result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 5 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 8.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Aldosivi
33%
result
Draw
32%
Banfield
35%
top pick
Final score
3–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave an Aldosivi win 33.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Banfield win. Expected goals 1.05–1.09 against 3–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (14.5%), 0–0 (12.9%), 0–1 (11.8%). It finished 3–1.
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Aldosivi
| 22 Jan | H | vs Defensa y Justicia | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Jan | H | vs Barracas Central | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Feb | A | vs Gimnasia L.P. | 1–3 | L |
| 7 Feb | H | vs Rosario Central | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | A | vs Tigre | 0–1 | L |
Banfield
| 22 Jan | H | vs Huracan | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Jan | A | vs Sarmiento Junin | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Feb | H | vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Feb | A | vs Belgrano | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Feb | H | vs Racing Club | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Aldosivi (Home · 16 matches) | Banfield (Away · 16 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 43.8% | 62.5% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 25.0% | 56.2% |
| Clean sheet | 43.8% | 12.5% |
| Avg goals | 1.69 | 2.50 |
Home stats use Aldosivi's home record; away stats use Banfield's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.