Matches

Every fixture, forecast.

Win probabilities, expected goals and most likely scorelines for every upcoming fixture the model covers. Tap a match for the full distribution.

Sunday 11 October

xGMost likely scoresHome · Draw · Away

Premier League3 matches

13:00HULHullvEVEEverton0.99–1.371–1 13% · 0–1 12% · 0–0 10%27%28%45%

HUL v EVE13:0027%28%45%

Hull v EvertonxG 0.99–1.37

Scores 1–1 13% · 0–1 12% · 0–0 10%

13:00CPACrystal PalacevNFONottm Forest1.22–1.331–1 13% · 1–0 9% · 0–0 9%35%28%37%

CPA v NFO13:0035%28%37%

Crystal Palace v Nottm ForestxG 1.22–1.33

Scores 1–1 13% · 1–0 9% · 0–0 9%

15:30LIVLiverpoolvMCIMan City1.26–1.531–1 12% · 1–2 8% · 2–1 8%33%25%42%

LIV v MCI15:3033%25%42%

Liverpool v Man CityxG 1.26–1.53

Scores 1–1 12% · 1–2 8% · 2–1 8%

Monday 12 October

xGMost likely scoresHome · Draw · Away

Premier League1 match

19:00COVCoventryvNEWNewcastle1.20–1.481–1 13% · 0–1 10% · 1–2 10%29%27%44%

COV v NEW19:0029%27%44%

Coventry v NewcastlexG 1.20–1.48

Scores 1–1 13% · 0–1 10% · 1–2 10%

Saturday 17 October

xGMost likely scoresHome · Draw · Away

Premier League5 matches

11:30EVEEvertonvCHEChelsea1.21–1.351–1 12% · 0–1 10% · 1–2 9%34%25%41%

EVE v CHE11:3034%25%41%

Everton v ChelseaxG 1.21–1.35

Scores 1–1 12% · 0–1 10% · 1–2 9%

14:00MCIMan CityvIPSIpswich2.92–0.812–0 10% · 3–0 10% · 2–1 8%79%13%9%

MCI v IPS14:0079%13%9%

Man City v IpswichxG 2.92–0.81

Scores 2–0 10% · 3–0 10% · 2–1 8%

14:00FULFulhamvHULHull1.68–0.931–0 13% · 2–1 11% · 1–1 11%58%23%19%

FUL v HUL14:0058%23%19%

Fulham v HullxG 1.68–0.93

Scores 1–0 13% · 2–1 11% · 1–1 11%

14:00BREBrentfordvLIVLiverpool1.32–1.481–1 12% · 2–1 9% · 1–2 8%34%26%39%

BRE v LIV14:0034%26%39%

Brentford v LiverpoolxG 1.32–1.48

Scores 1–1 12% · 2–1 9% · 1–2 8%

16:30NEWNewcastlevAVIAston Villa1.57–1.241–1 12% · 2–1 10% · 1–0 9%46%25%29%

NEW v AVI16:3046%25%29%

Newcastle v Aston VillaxG 1.57–1.24

Scores 1–1 12% · 2–1 10% · 1–0 9%

Sunday 18 October

xGMost likely scoresHome · Draw · Away

Premier League4 matches

13:00LEELeedsvMUTMan Utdforecast pending

Leeds v Man Utd

13:00BRIBrightonvCPACrystal Palaceforecast pending

Brighton v Crystal Palace

13:00BOUBournemouthvSUNSunderlandforecast pending

Bournemouth v Sunderland

15:30NFONottm ForestvARSArsenalforecast pending

Nottm Forest v Arsenal

Monday 19 October

xGMost likely scoresHome · Draw · Away

Premier League1 match

19:00TOTTottenhamvCOVCoventryforecast pending

Tottenham v Coventry

Metis Forecast · 9 of 14 market-anchored · model run 11 Oct · 04:52 UTC