TPS vs SJK — Veikkausliiga result and pre-match forecast, Tuesday, 8 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 27.8 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
TPS
42%
top pick
Draw
27%
result
SJK
31%
Final score
0–0
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 27.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a TPS win. Expected goals 1.51–1.26 against 0–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.9%), 2–1 (8.9%), 1–0 (8.4%). It finished 0–0.
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TPS
| 4 Apr | A | vs Mariehamn | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Apr | H | vs Lahti | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | H | vs SJK | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Apr | H | vs Gnistan | 1–1 | D |
| 2 May | A | vs Jaro | 2–2 | D |
SJK
| 8 Sept | A | vs Turku PS | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Apr | A | vs HJK | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Apr | H | vs Mariehamn | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | A | vs TPS | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Apr | H | vs Jaro | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | TPS (Home · 14 matches) | SJK (Away · 14 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 35.7% | 42.9% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 35.7% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 21.4% |
| Avg goals | 2.21 | 2.21 |
Home stats use TPS's home record; away stats use SJK's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.