TPS
vs
15:00
5th vs 3rd
KuPS
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| TPS | 4.56 | 4.56 |
| Draw | 3.81 | 3.81 |
| KuPS | 1.75 | 1.75 |
Match preview
TPS host KuPS in a meeting between fifth and third place, with the home side looking to arrest some inconsistency after back-to-back defeats. TPS have been notably defensive at home this season, conceding just 0.4 goals per match with clean sheets in 60% of games—well above the league average. However, their attacking output remains modest at 1.4 per game, suggesting they may struggle to break down a KuPS side that has been considerably sterner on the road than their league position suggests.
KuPS arrive unbeaten in their last two and show a starkly different away profile compared to the league norm. They've conceded 1.2 goals per match on the road and maintained a 75% BTTS rate, indicating they score frequently despite defending poorly. This collision of styles—TPS's suffocating home setup against KuPS's attacking intent and defensive vulnerability—suggests this looks tighter than the odds might imply. Expect KuPS to breach TPS's backline, but the hosts' defensive discipline should keep this competitive.
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Recent form
TPS
| 4 Apr | A | vs Mariehamn | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Apr | H | vs Lahti | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | H | vs SJK | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Apr | H | vs Gnistan | 1–1 | D |
| 2 May | A | vs Jaro | 2–2 | D |
KuPS
| 4 Apr | A | vs Ilves | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Apr | H | vs Gnistan | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | A | vs Jaro | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Apr | H | vs AC Oulu | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Apr | H | vs HJK | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | TPS (Home) | KuPS (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 40.0% | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 20.0% | 25.0% |
| Clean sheet | 60.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 1.80 | 2.50 |
Home stats use TPS's home record; away stats use KuPS's away record this season.