SJK
vs
14:00
10th vs 7th
TPS
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| SJK | 1.62 | 1.62 |
| Draw | 4.15 | 4.15 |
| TPS | 5.07 | 5.07 |
Match preview
SJK come into this fixture in worrying form with just one win in their last five, though their home record shows encouraging attacking intent with BTTS hitting 67% and Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The concern is their defensive fragility—conceding 1.3 per game at home suggests they remain vulnerable despite the attacking output. TPS are marginally better placed in seventh but their away numbers tell a different story: just 0.7 goals scored on the road with BTTS only at 50%, well below the league average. Historically, this pairing favors neither side, with TPS winning their last meeting.
The data suggests this could be tighter than expected. TPS's away form is particularly blunt—scoring under a goal per game—which should suit SJK's home setup even if their general performances have been inconsistent. However, SJK's defensive lapses could prove costly against any visiting side. The BTTS probability leans toward TPS struggling to score sufficiently, though SJK's tendency to concede keeps that market interesting. This looks like a low-scoring affair relative to the season's trends.
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SJK
| 4 Apr | A | vs HJK | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Apr | H | vs Mariehamn | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | A | vs TPS | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Apr | H | vs Jaro | 1–1 | D |
| 2 May | H | vs Ilves | 1–1 | D |
TPS
| 4 Apr | A | vs Mariehamn | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Apr | H | vs Lahti | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | H | vs SJK | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Apr | H | vs Gnistan | 1–1 | D |
| 2 May | A | vs Jaro | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 18 Apr 26 | TPSvsSJK | 2 – 0 |
SJK: 0W 0D 1L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | SJK (Home) | TPS (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 33.3% |
| Clean sheet | 16.7% | 16.7% |
| Avg goals | 2.50 | 1.83 |
Home stats use SJK's home record; away stats use TPS's away record this season.