🇫🇮 Veikkausliiga·Saturday, 4 July 2026·14:00

SJK

LLWLD

vs

14:00

10th vs 7th

TPS

LWLLD

Odds comparison

MarketPinnacleBest
SJK1.621.62
Draw4.154.15
TPS5.075.07

Match preview

SJK come into this fixture in worrying form with just one win in their last five, though their home record shows encouraging attacking intent with BTTS hitting 67% and Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The concern is their defensive fragility—conceding 1.3 per game at home suggests they remain vulnerable despite the attacking output. TPS are marginally better placed in seventh but their away numbers tell a different story: just 0.7 goals scored on the road with BTTS only at 50%, well below the league average. Historically, this pairing favors neither side, with TPS winning their last meeting.

The data suggests this could be tighter than expected. TPS's away form is particularly blunt—scoring under a goal per game—which should suit SJK's home setup even if their general performances have been inconsistent. However, SJK's defensive lapses could prove costly against any visiting side. The BTTS probability leans toward TPS struggling to score sufficiently, though SJK's tendency to concede keeps that market interesting. This looks like a low-scoring affair relative to the season's trends.

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Recent form

SJK

4 AprAvs HJK0–3L
10 AprHvs Mariehamn3–0W
18 AprAvs TPS0–2L
24 AprHvs Jaro1–1D
2 MayHvs Ilves1–1D

TPS

4 AprAvs Mariehamn1–1D
10 AprHvs Lahti2–1W
18 AprHvs SJK2–0W
24 AprHvs Gnistan1–1D
2 MayAvs Jaro2–2D

Head to head

18 Apr 26TPSvsSJK2 – 0

SJK: 0W 0D 1L in last 1

Model context

StatSJK
(Home)
TPS
(Away)
BTTS rate66.7%50.0%
Over 2.5 rate50.0%33.3%
Clean sheet16.7%16.7%
Avg goals2.501.83

Home stats use SJK's home record; away stats use TPS's away record this season.