Mariehamn vs Ilves — Veikkausliiga forecast, Saturday, 10 October 2026
Veikkausliiga·Saturday, 10 October 2026·16:00
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Mariehamn | 3.21 |
| Draw | 3.71 |
| Ilves | 2.13 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 27 Sep · 03:48 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Mariehamn
| 4 Apr | H | vs TPS | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Apr | A | vs SJK | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Apr | H | vs Ilves | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | A | vs Inter Turku | 0–1 | L |
| 2 May | H | vs VPS | 0–1 | L |
Ilves
| 4 Apr | H | vs KuPS | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Apr | A | vs Inter Turku | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | A | vs Mariehamn | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Apr | A | vs VPS | 2–3 | L |
| 2 May | A | vs SJK | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 9 Aug 26 | IlvesvsMariehamn | 2 – 0 |
| 18 Apr 26 | MariehamnvsIlves | 2 – 2 |
Mariehamn: 0W 1D 1L in last 2
Model context
| Stat | Mariehamn (Home · 12 matches) | Ilves (Away · 12 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 33.3% | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 25.0% | 83.3% |
| Clean sheet | 25.0% | 8.3% |
| Avg goals | 2.25 | 3.83 |
Home stats use Mariehamn's home record; away stats use Ilves's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.