Lahti host TPS in a mid-table clash where the home side's vulnerability could prove costly. Lahti's recent form is concerning with just one win in five, though their home record shows attacking potential with 1.8 goals scored per game and a BTTS rate of 67%, well above the league average. Defensively though, they're leaky at 1.3 conceded, and their lack of clean sheets at home this season is troubling against a TPS side that's found some consistency away from home.

TPS arrive as the superior side in the table and hold a winning record in this fixture, but their away form tells a different story. They've managed just 0.8 goals per game on the road with zero clean sheets, suggesting they struggle to impose themselves outside their own ground. The data points to an open match with both sides capable of breaching these defenses, making this look tighter than typical home advantage would suggest. Expect chances at both ends.