KuPS come into this having taken just one win from their last five, a stuttering run that has kept them hovering around the fringes of the title picture despite their fourth-place standing. Jaro, sitting eleventh, have drawn four of their last five and are clearly a side that makes games difficult rather than exciting, arriving without a win on the road this season.

The numbers back up that cautious outlook. Jaro's away fixtures have produced no games over 2.5 goals this season, and their average of 0.3 goals scored on the road is one of the lowest figures in the division. KuPS are similarly conservative at home, with O2.5 landing in just a quarter of their home matches, well below the league average of 32%. Both BTTS figures sit at or below the league norm too.

The data suggests this is a low-scoring, attritional affair. Jaro's resilience makes this look tighter than a home-versus-eleventh matchup might imply.