TPS arrive at Jaro in strong shape, unbeaten in their last five with back-to-back away wins, while the hosts have failed to win in three, picking up just two draws. The form gap is clear, and sitting third in the Veikkausliiga, TPS look like the more cohesive and confident side heading into this fixture.

The scoring data tells an interesting story. Jaro have been exceptionally low-scoring at home this season, averaging just 0.5 goals per game, well below the league average. TPS away matches have all featured goals at both ends, with BTTS landing in every away game so far, notably above the league norm of 42%. However, neither side has been involved in a high-scoring game on the road or at home this season, with Over 2.5 failing to land in all their respective matches.

This looks tighter on the scoreline than the overall form might suggest, but the visitors carry the more convincing momentum and look undervalued heading into this one.