🇫🇮 Veikkausliiga·Monday, 31 August 2026·16:00
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Turku | 2.38 | 2.38 |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| KuPS | 3.06 | 3.06 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketInter Turku
40%
Draw
29%
KuPS
31%
Inter Turku 1.49 xGexpected goals1.31 xG KuPS
Inter Turku win 40% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 58% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13.6%).
Inter Turku score at least twice in 44%; KuPS in 37%.
1–1 13.6%2–1 9.0%1–0 8.2%0–0 7.4%1–2 7.2%2–0 6.6%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4 | 6.5 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 8.2 | 13.6 | 7.2 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.6 | 9.1 | 6.2 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = Inter Turku goals · columns = KuPS goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score58%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Over 4.5 goals15%
Inter Turku clean sheet27%
KuPS clean sheet22%
Inter Turku score 2+44%
KuPS score 2+37%
Inter Turku score 3+19%
Model vs market
| Source | Inter Turku | Draw | KuPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 38% | 27% | 35% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 40% | 29% | 31% |
| Metis Forecast | 40% | 29% | 31% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Recent form
Inter Turku
| 4 Apr | H | vs VPS | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Apr | H | vs Ilves | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | A | vs Lahti | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Apr | H | vs Mariehamn | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | H | vs HJK | 1–1 | D |
KuPS
| 4 Apr | A | vs Ilves | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Apr | H | vs Gnistan | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | A | vs Jaro | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Apr | H | vs AC Oulu | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Apr | H | vs HJK | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 30 May 26 | KuPSvsInter Turku | 1 – 1 |
Inter Turku: 0W 1D 0L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Inter Turku (Home) | KuPS (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 60.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 30.0% | 40.0% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 30.0% |
| Avg goals | 1.60 | 2.50 |
Home stats use Inter Turku's home record; away stats use KuPS's away record this season.